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WILLSANIcon...28-04-2020 @ 14:33 
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macroth said:People whose analytical skills aren't quite as low as yours might be, who knows?


https://i.giphy.com/media/l4EpgzkiwfFJKADLy/giphy.webp
AdamTIcon...28-04-2020 @ 16:08 
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dannyboy73 said:Its the Sweden model. and the way other nations such as the far east have undereacted but still dont have the massive death rates. as i say, never seen the daily global death rate above 7k and i find that a bit suspect.
What has happened is that we have gone with 1 model and stuck with it like a holly grail. I was expecting a wave of death to justify global house arrest...
Dont get me wrong, it good that covid 19 has not been the grim reaper. However, since the only way forward is herd immunity and physical (not social) distancing lets not utterly destroy the economic future.
I still think the likes of hairdressers (personal care) should remain shut and those at risk should stay home not the rest of us. Its all backward.
My annoyance is the high amounts of elderly people out and about while kids are locked up. When we go out the old people queing for 1 sausage look at the youngsters as if to say what if are you lot doing out?. its bloody outrageous and backward. Lets move quickly to a Swedish model already and ask the high risk group to stay at home.
and my granddad is dying today so im in a very bad mood Unhappy


Sorry to hear about your grandad man
slow_lift_joeIcon...28-04-2020 @ 16:46 
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Over 100 health workers have died (I do not know the exact figure) but this is a serious pathogen and it must be dealt with by the science.
Over 100 health workers do not die like this in a normal year.

My heart and my total respect go out all the health workers.

We can all question all the governments response and their sheer lack of pandemic planning or the cut backs made to manufacturing and PPE equipment.
I for one am very critical of all global governments and their investments in war machines but not health care or pandemic planning.
But now we are where we are, what we need now is a clear plan to move forward.
If it is the vaccine before we go back to 100% then the government better have a adult conversation with the people on how we can have some sort of economy with some sort of passport to work with a phased approach and a safe method of working.

On the point of bat soup or a lab leak without documentary evidence and solid facts it is just babble and jabber.

My respect and honour to health workers who lost their lives and I will raise a barbell tonight in my garage to you all and the other health workers still on the front line.

All of this is unacceptable in the 21st century with the wealth in world.

Keep safe everyone.
AdamTIcon...28-04-2020 @ 17:34 
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Vaccine is not guaranteed
billynomatesIcon...28-04-2020 @ 17:50 
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AdamT said:Vaccine is not guaranteed

Yes, and what will happen if one doesnt come. Are we expected to stay 2 metres away from our parents/grandparents forever?
AdamTIcon...28-04-2020 @ 20:15 
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billynomates said:
Yes, and what will happen if one doesnt come. Are we expected to stay 2 metres away from our parents/grandparents forever?


The over 70s will have to make a choice

Live their life and take a chance?

Or just merely exist and be fearful

I don't think we should be hoping for bill gates f**king vaccines

Hopefully some anti viral treatments will help in time and the virus will in time mutate into something weaker
WILLSANIcon...28-04-2020 @ 20:21 
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billynomates said:One of the world's leading virus hunters (Peter Daszak) has said its not a possibility that the virus came from the Wuhan lab.

https://www.google.ie/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/videos/tv/2020/04/26/ex...


they alluded to Peter Daszak knowing Shi Zhengli ('bat woman' being investigated by international spies Grin) in the interview so I wondered how well he knew her.

turns out pretty well. he has collaborated with her on a number of papers over the years:

https://europepmc.org/article/pmc/pmc4810638

https://www.c.cdc.gov/eid/article/12/12/06-0401-t1

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12711

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/310/5748/676/tab-figures-data

he is president of the ecohealth alliance:

https://www.ecohealthalliance.org/personnel/dr-peter-daszak

ecohealth alliance has been funding the wuhan biolab through an NIH grant. that grant has just been cut off as the biolab is now being investigated by the NIH:

https://nypost.com/2020/04/28/nih-investigating-wuhan-lab-at-center-of-coronavirus-pandemic/

states he has been working with his 'Chinese collaborators for 15 yrs on SARSr-CoVs'on his twitter:

https://twitter.com/PeterDaszak/status/1212018989263720455

I think he might have a conflict of interest.

but I may just be a conspiracy theorist with a propensity for low level crime.

Grin
BigMaccaIcon...28-04-2020 @ 20:33 
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AdamT said:
The over 70s will have to make a choice
Live their life and take a chance?
Or just merely exist and be fearful
I don't think we should be hoping for bill gates f**king vaccines
Hopefully some anti viral treatments will help in time and the virus will in time mutate into something weaker

I'm not sure why you're picking over 70 as the cut off.

Looking at the latest stats, death rates are up slightly for the 40-45 age bracket and then jump up significantly for each 5 year bracket from there (increasing percentage wise as you get older).

The idea that this just effects coffin dodgers is just incorrect
lukiIcon...28-04-2020 @ 21:56 
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Post Edited: 28.04.2020 @ 21:58 PM by luki
WILLSAN said:
luki said:https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/talking-about-trauma/202004...

This article touches on mental health and Wuflu conspiracies. It’s perfect for this thread.


if I was a conspiracy theorist I might think that that piece was written in order to keep anyone questioning official narratives in line by characterizing them in a poor light.
Posting posters for the apocalypse. http://www.frodesignco.com/covid-propaganda-set/try-conspiraci...
AdamTIcon...28-04-2020 @ 22:17 
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Post Edited: 28.04.2020 @ 22:17 PM by AdamT
BigMacca said:
I'm not sure why you're picking over 70 as the cut off.
Looking at the latest stats, death rates are up slightly for the 40-45 age bracket and then jump up significantly for each 5 year bracket from there (increasing percentage wise as you get older).
The idea that this just effects coffin dodgers is just incorrect


I know it's dangerous for all

But statistics show pensioners and anyone with underlying issues are most at risk

These are the people advised to isolate

The government does not give a s**t who lives or dies, as long as they have beds available and the NHS does not crack

These were the guys that up until a few weeks ago were planning for herd immunity

No doubt the elite will hide in their mansions/holiday homes whilst us common people get sick and some will die
billynomatesIcon...28-04-2020 @ 23:03 
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WILLSAN said:
they alluded to Peter Daszak knowing Shi Zhengli ('bat woman' being investigated by international spies Grin) in the interview so I wondered how well he knew her.
turns out pretty well. he has collaborated with her on a number of papers over the years:
https://europepmc.org/article/pmc/pmc4810638
https://www.c.cdc.gov/eid/article/12/12/06-0401-t1
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12711
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/310/5748/676/tab-figures-data
he is president of the ecohealth alliance:
https://www.ecohealthalliance.org/personnel/dr-peter-daszak
ecohealth alliance has been funding the wuhan biolab through an NIH grant. that grant has just been cut off as the biolab is now being investigated by the NIH:
https://nypost.com/2020/04/28/nih-investigating-wuhan-lab-at-center-of-coronavirus-pandemic/
states he has been working with his 'Chinese collaborators for 15 yrs on SARSr-CoVs'on his twitter:
https://twitter.com/PeterDaszak/status/1212018989263720455
I think he might have a conflict of interest.
but I may just be a conspiracy theorist with a propensity for low level crime.
Grin

I'm happy to accept that he's being honest here. How about his assertion that "they didnt have the virus in the lab anyway. Nobody has the virus, from bats, that led to covid 19"? I'd like to know how he knows this. Surely if they had it wouldnt be public knowledge.
RickIcon...28-04-2020 @ 23:35 
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I'm not an expert in this particular field, or anything closely related, but I am an ex research scientist, and I think it almost certainly WOULD be public knowledge within the field. Research in general, outside of commercial and military settings, is massively international, collaborative, open, and, yes, public. The internet was originally built precisely for this kind of data-intensive collaboration between widely distant labs.

Researchers have been pointing out in published articles that the interactions in parts of China between humans and wild bat populations, which are known to be a significant reservoir of human-novel coronaviruses, were a time bomb for at least fifteen years. Transmission has happened before. That's precisely why these labs existed, to try and get ahead of the next one, but of course they can only examine a minority, and exactly one of the myriad made the jump - almost certainly, by simple probability, not one the lab had ever seen. This was EXPECTED. There's really no need to dream up other explanations, however politically attractive one might find it.
BigMaccaIcon...29-04-2020 @ 01:41 
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AdamT said:
I know it's dangerous for all
But statistics show pensioners and anyone with underlying issues are most at risk

This a dangerous misconception when taken out of context.

Firstly, this only takes death rates into account, not hospitalisation rates

Over 75's are normally most at risk for any virus/disease simply because they have less efficient immune system.

For u40's, the chances of dying from COVID19 are low (almost background noise low), but from 45 up, the rate keeps increasing.
It's obviously higher for those 75+, but that doesn't mean it's not high for 50 year olds as well.

Then when you look at hospitalisation rates, they are high for even the 18 to 40 age bracket, they do then step up again age increases but a significant number of 18-40 year olds end up needing hospital care from this.

If all people under 40 just go back to normal, the hospital's will be overrun in a matter of weeks.

The only way out I can see (without effective treatment/vaccine), is immediate testing of anyone with symptoms, then aggressive contact tracing for any positive results with resulting isolation as required.

We've got a ways to go yet...
billynomatesIcon...29-04-2020 @ 08:18 
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Rick said:I'm not an expert in this particular field, or anything closely related, but I am an ex research scientist, and I think it almost certainly WOULD be public knowledge within the field. Research in general, outside of commercial and military settings, is massively international, collaborative, open, and, yes, public. The internet was originally built precisely for this kind of data-intensive collaboration between widely distant labs.

Researchers have been pointing out in published articles that the interactions in parts of China between humans and wild bat populations, which are known to be a significant reservoir of human-novel coronaviruses, were a time bomb for at least fifteen years. Transmission has happened before. That's precisely why these labs existed, to try and get ahead of the next one, but of course they can only examine a minority, and exactly one of the myriad made the jump - almost certainly, by simple probability, not one the lab had ever seen. This was EXPECTED. There's really no need to dream up other explanations, however politically attractive one might find it.

Interesting stuff. I guess that wont stop the conspiracy theorists claim that the virus' existence in the lab was hidden due to its status as a bioweapon black project or some such.
WILLSANIcon...29-04-2020 @ 08:52 
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Rick said:I'm not an expert in this particular field, or anything closely related, but I am an ex research scientist, and I think it almost certainly WOULD be public knowledge within the field. Research in general, outside of commercial and military settings, is massively international, collaborative, open, and, yes, public. The internet was originally built precisely for this kind of data-intensive collaboration between widely distant labs.

Researchers have been pointing out in published articles that the interactions in parts of China between humans and wild bat populations, which are known to be a significant reservoir of human-novel coronaviruses, were a time bomb for at least fifteen years. Transmission has happened before. That's precisely why these labs existed, to try and get ahead of the next one, but of course they can only examine a minority, and exactly one of the myriad made the jump - almost certainly, by simple probability, not one the lab had ever seen. This was EXPECTED. There's really no need to dream up other explanations, however politically attractive one might find it.


id be interested to find out your view on the ethics of gain of function research.

I found this paper from 07 by the scientists who are under investigation at the biolab. I may be misunderstanding as the main body of the paper is way beyond me but the abstract seems to be saying that they were indeed experimenting with combining the HIV and SARS-CoV to study how efficiently they could make them bind to human ACE2 receptors.

https://jvi.asm.org/content/jvi/early/2007/12/12/JVI.01085-07.full.pdf

if this is right these scientists appear to have been making chimeric viruses that are potentially more dangerous than naturally occurring ones just so they can learn about them IF one does occur naturally. origins of the current pandemic aside surely this is madness?

please tell me if im off base on what they were studying here because I will freely admit I am way out of my depth on the scientific papers.

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